A1 - Samuel Ligonnière
TI - Trilemma, Dilemma and Global Players
IS - 2017-15
T3 - Working Papers
KW - Trilemma
KW - Dilemma
KW - Exchange-Rate Regime
KW - Global Financial Cycle
KW - Global Players
N2 - This paper investigates the debate between the Mundellian trilemma and the dilemma. It focuses on the active role of the exchange rate regime. Overall, the global financial cycle magnifies the binding effect of financial openness on monetary policy autonomy, thus at the same time sharply reducing the effectiveness of the floating exchange rate regime to isolate the domestic economy against financial pressures. We provide empirical evidence that the trilemma does not morph into a dilemma. Furthermore, the sensitivity to the global financial cycle depends less on the fluctuations of these financial forces than on the presence of global investors and global banks.
ER -