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N° 208 |
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| January 2002 |
| The Outlook for World
Demographic Change and Growth to the Year 2030 |
| Nina Kousnetzoff |
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| The rise of working populations will slow
down in all regions of the world over the next thirty years. Nevertheless, global
economic growth (at 3%) is likely to be similar to that experienced during the
last thirty years, thanks to a faster rise in productivity and the increasing
importance of the more dynamic emerging countries. The shift of the world's economic
centre of gravity to developing Asia will continue. On the other hand, there is
likely to be little catch-up of the world's poorest regions, especially sub-Saharan
Africa. A far greater investment effort will be required, if these regions are
to benefit from the opportunities offered by the demographic situation over the
next decades. |
Abstract |
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