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N° 2003-12 |
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| September |
| Market Access Liberalisation in the Doha Round: Scenarios and Assessment |
Lionel Fontagné
Jean-Louis Guérin
Sébastien Jean |
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| The modalities of negotiation on market access for agricultural and non-agricultural products are an important item of the Doha Development Agenda. The dispersion of tariffs remains very large, translating in sizeable economic distortions. In particular, tariff peaks are numerous and highly protective. This is why the choice of a formula of reduction in tariffs is a sensitive issue. Using MAcMaps, we apply various formulas excluding or including peaks to detailed and exhaustive information on tariffs, considering preferential schemes conceded so far. The resulting changes in tariffs are introduced in a CGE exercise using MIRAGE. We find that trade and welfare gains are halved when excluding peaks from the negotiations. However, considering redistribution of real incomes, the political economy of trade protection makes it hardly plausible to reach an agreement on an ambitious formula in agriculture. |
Abstract |
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| Market access; Doha Development Agenda; Tariff peaks; Computable General Equilibrium model |
Keywords |
| D58 ; F12 ; F13 |
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