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  N° 2009-13 CEPII Working Paper
July 2009
New Evidence on the Effectiveness of Europe's Fiscal Restrictions
Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro  
This paper investigates the past effectiveness of the Maastricht Treaty (MT) and Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) in disciplining fiscal policy in the Euro zone. We estimate fiscal reaction functions for a panel of 11 members of the Euro zone including the more recent period of the reformed SGP, and compare them with fiscal responses from other “industrialized” OECD countries. Our main finding is that in contrast with the MT, the SGP has been ineffective in tackling excessive deficits in the Euro zone. Moreover, it has also not induced a countercyclical behavior of the fiscal authorities in the region. These results evince the need for reforms in Europe’s fiscal restrictions in order to restore their credibility. Non-technical summary Non-technical summary (pdf)
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Fiscal restrictions; panel data; Maastricht Treaty; stability and growth pact Keywords
C33; E62; E65; H62 JEL classification
   
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