https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/theme.asp?idTheme=3https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/img/blog_logo.pnghttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/theme.asp?idTheme=3Le Blog du CEPIIcepiiweb@cepii.fr (CEPII)frCEPIICEPIIhttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1207Fri, 12 Jun 2026 10:42:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1207https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1207 Charlotte Emlinger, Kevin Lefebvre, Isabelle Méjean, Vincent Vicard

]]>The closure of the U.S. market following Donald Trump’s return to office raises the prospect of a reorientation of Chinese exports toward the European Union. How significant could this shift be?

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1198Tue, 12 May 2026 13:43:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1198https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1198 Thierry Mayer, Isabelle Méjean, Mathias Thoening

]]>The growing dependence of the United States on Chinese goods has increased the economic cost of geopolitical disputes with China for the U.S. economy. The United States therefore faces a fundamental security dilemma: while decoupling may strengthen its diplomatic bargaining power, it may also fuel a costly escalation of tensions.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1188Thu, 9 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1188https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1188 Matteo Neri-Lainé

]]>Beyond national security issues, military alliances play an essential role in securing international trade. Their redefinition could lead to a major reorientation of global flows.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1183Mon, 23 Mar 2026 10:35:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1183https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1183 Nathan Chevalier, Matthieu Crozet, Charlotte Emlinger, Daniel Mirza

]]>The markedly negative tone of relations with Russia has eased for the American and Chinese superpowers, according to the geopolitical climate indicator “Shade."

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1169Thu, 5 Feb 2026 16:07:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1169https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1169 Houssein Guimbard

]]>Tariffs are at the core of the trade agreement concluded between the European Union (EU) and India at the end of January. The agreement offers European exporters a tangible opportunity to strengthen their presence in this vast market.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1150Thu, 18 Dec 2025 14:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1150https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1150 Amandine Aubry, Anthony Edo

]]>A sector’s export performance depends not only on the immigrant labour it employs directly, but also on immigrant workers employed in upstream sectors.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1142Fri, 28 Nov 2025 15:52:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1142https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1142 Charlotte Emlinger, Kevin Lefebvre, Vincent Vicard

]]>In response to the sharp increase in U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports, Beijing is redirecting part of its export flows toward new markets. For certain products, the European Union (EU) has emerged as a preferred destination.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1131Fri, 14 Nov 2025 16:03:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1131https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1131 Pierre Cotterlaz, Guillaume Gaulier, Aude Sztulman, Deniz Ünal

]]>Behind the expansion or slowdown of world trade in value terms lies a key factor: price movements, which are often sharply contrasted across categories of traded goods.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1122Wed, 5 Nov 2025 14:43:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1122https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1122 Laurence Nayman, Vincent Vicard

]]>Despite its clear net debtor position, France receives more investment income than it pays out — a form of “exorbitant privilege” long associated with the United States.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1117Fri, 17 Oct 2025 14:23:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1117https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1117 Camilo Umana Dajud, Vincent Vicard, Constance Marette

]]>Multinational enterprises (MNEs) have proven being more resilient in terms of employment than purely domestic groups since the health crisis, especially in their home country.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1103Mon, 15 Sep 2025 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1103https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1103 Pierre Cotterlaz, Christophe Gouel

]]>The geographical origin of France's imports played a decisive role in the increase of its carbon footprint during the 2000s. This trend is primarily explained by the "China shock" followed by the rise in the economy's openness rate.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1101Mon, 1 Sep 2025 15:08:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1101https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1101 Charlotte Emlinger, Houssein Guimbard

]]>In discussions surrounding international trade agreements, European agriculture is often portrayed as a homogeneous sector, unable to compete on the global stage. This oversimplified perception fuels ongoing debates over market liberalization, foreign competition, and the safeguarding of domestic industries.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1100Mon, 4 Aug 2025 12:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1100https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1100 Deniz Ünal

]]>American protectionism constitutes an additional shock likely to reinforce trade within the Single Market.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1098Thu, 17 Jul 2025 00:01:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1098https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1098 Antoine Bouët, Houssein Guimbard

]]>Regardless of future US decisions, a return to the preexisting global trade order seems unlikely: trade with the United States is bound to become more expensive and more difficult.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1096Tue, 1 Jul 2025 08:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1096https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1096 Antoine Bouët, Lionel Fontagné, Houssein Guimbard, Pauline Wibaux, Yu Zheng

]]>How can Europe identify the threat of trade retaliation that allows it to establish the strongest negotiating position in dealing with the United States in merchandise trade alone?

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1095Mon, 16 Jun 2025 08:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1095https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1095 Carl Grekou, Valérie Mignon

]]>Premature deindustrialization in most emerging and developing economies has been one of the defining trends of recent decades. The adoption of a fixed exchange regime by low-productivity countries particularly accelerates this phenomenon.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1093Mon, 2 Jun 2025 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1093https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1093 Pierre Cotterlaz

]]>The importance of China in the imports of European countries varies significantly from one source to another, because of methodological differences in recording the country of origin of imports.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1091Mon, 19 May 2025 08:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1091https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1091 Charlotte Emlinger, Kevin Lefebvre

]]>The trade sanctions imposed on the Russian economy not only restrict its supplies but also increase their cost.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1089Mon, 5 May 2025 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1089https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1089 Kevin Lefebvre, Pauline Wibaux

]]>The tariff strategy implemented since Donald Trump's inauguration has drawn attention to the extent of the U.S. economy's dependence on imports. The European Union (EU) ranks second among the suppliers on which the United States relies the most.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1084Mon, 14 Apr 2025 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1084https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1084 Pierre Cotterlaz

]]>The United States are the main destination of European Union (EU) exports (excluding the Single Market). As transatlantic trade tensions intensify, some European industries are particularly exposed to the risk of losing access to the U.S. market.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1083Tue, 8 Apr 2025 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1083https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1083 Antoine Bouët, Houssein Guimbard

]]>Since taking office, Donald Trump has fully embraced his 'tariff mania,' imposing higher taxes on certain countries and products, even going so far as to introduce reciprocal tariffs. This has led to a wide range of import duties on the U.S. market.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1077Mon, 31 Mar 2025 14:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1077https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1077 Deniz Ünal

]]>Faced with the protectionist threats from the United States or China targeting sectors that play a significant role in the trade of some of its members, the European Union (EU) might be inclined to present a united front due to the strong interconnection of its economies.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1074Wed, 19 Mar 2025 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1074https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1074 Houssein Guimbard

]]>On average, the United States and the European Union (EU) apply relatively low tariffs. How do the levels vary by industry group ?

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1069Wed, 12 Mar 2025 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1069https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1069 Gianluca Santoni, Vincent Vicard

]]>China dominates global trade with 730 products for which it accounts for more than half of global exports in 2023, far more than the EU, the United States, and Japan.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1061Wed, 26 Feb 2025 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1061https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1061 Romain Capliez, Carl Grekou, Emmanuelle Hache, Valérie Mignon

]]>China, in addition to being one of the leading producers of minerals used in electric vehicle batteries, has also become the largest importer, thanks to its massive investments worldwide.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1064Wed, 12 Feb 2025 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1064https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1064 Thierry Mayer, Vincent Vicard, Pauline Wibaux

]]>The automotive sector plays a central role in Donald Trump's declarations on trade deficits and his threats of protectionist measures against the European Union (EU) as well as Canada and Mexico. With a $270 billion motor vehicle trade deficit in 2023, cars are one of the major items, nearly a quarter of the total, in the US trade deficit after consumer goods.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1060Wed, 12 Feb 2025 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1060https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1060 Pierre Cotterlaz, Guillaume Gaulier, Aude Sztulman, Deniz Ünal

]]>The boom in international trade in healthcare products does not date back to the Covid-19 pandemic but to the great multilateral trade opening of the 2000s. Will the protectionist tensions that have been building since 2022 slow this growth?

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1055Thu, 30 Jan 2025 00:06:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1055https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1055 Kevin Lefebvre, Pauline Wibaux

]]>The COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine have highlighted the challenges associated with import dependency.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1056Wed, 15 Jan 2025 00:04:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1056https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=1056 Antoine Bouët, Leysa Maty Sall, Yu Zheng

]]>The tariff increases announced by Donald Trump before his election would have a serious impact on global trade flows.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=966Wed, 22 Feb 2023 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=966https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=966 Antoine Bouët, Christophe Destais, Lionel Fontagné, Thomas Grjebine, Vincent Vicard

]]>This year, the major topics of the CEPII's work programme emerge from the current gloomy context: the energy transition, the resilience of value chains, impacts of geopolitical tensions, the macroeconomic situation marked by new budgetary priorities and the tightening of monetary policies.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=929Mon, 4 Apr 2022 21:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=929https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=929 Cecilia Bellora, Pierre Cotterlaz, Malte Thie

]]>The Ukrainian conflict has brought to the forefront the issue of Europe's dependence on hydrocarbon imports. Trade data are the usual source to construct a measure of interdependence between states. In the case of natural gas, however, they do not provide a reliable picture of actual flows.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=836Wed, 16 Jun 2021 13:57:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=836https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=836 Deniz Ünal

]]>

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=822Tue, 2 Jun 2020 14:43:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=822https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=822 Pierre Cotterlaz, Guillaume Gaulier, Aude Sztulman, Deniz Ünal

]]>The Covid-19 pandemic has revealed the vulnerability of the Old continent to drug-supply disruption. Europe nevertheless remains, by far, the leader in the global trade of pharmaceutical products. Article published in The Conversation on May 31, 2020

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=785Mon, 17 Feb 2020 16:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=785https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=785 Michel Fouquin, Jean-Raphaël Chaponnière

]]>Vietnam opening up and development are closely linked to the strategies of multinational companies at the heart of the transformation of economic structures. In spite of international trade tensions, Vietnam seems to be taking advantage of this by acting as a conduit for Japanese, Korean and Chinese companies to export to the United States.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=784Fri, 14 Feb 2020 16:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=784https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=784 Michel Fouquin, Jean-Raphaël Chaponnière

]]>Vietnam has opted for international openness since 1986 to create a “socialist market economy”, which has allowed it to experience vigorous economic expansion. Its integration into the world economy has made it an important link in international value chains, massively importing components from China and Asia in general, and exporting, as massively, finished products to the United States and Europe.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=759Wed, 20 Nov 2019 15:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=759https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=759 Équipe Profils du CEPII / CEPII Profiles team

]]>CEPII offers an enhanced version of the Country Profiles ?the online interactive pages elaborated from its own databases? which present the insertion of 80 economies in world trade. These free of use data are provided in the form of didactic illustrations for informational, educational and research purposes.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=735Mon, 30 Sep 2019 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=735https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=735 Cecilia Bellora

]]>The US trade policy is severely destabilising the international trade system. The European Union is fighting to maintain the latter's stability, which is under dire threat. This text has been first published for the Schuman Foundation.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=721Tue, 16 Jul 2019 15:18:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=721https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=721 Anne-Laure Delatte

]]>The day that France's parliament voted a so-called GAFA tax of three percent on revenue earned on French soil for big tech companies that hang their fiscal hat abroad, the Trump administration is paving the way for retaliatory tariffs.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=717Tue, 2 Jul 2019 14:53:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=717https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=717 Sébastien Jean, Anne Perrot, Thomas Philippon

]]>Europe’s competition policy has successfully contained the rise in concentration and excess profits, and the EU should not follow the US in weakening its approach. Instead, the EU needs to strengthen its trade policy to be more assertive on reciprocity in market access and control of industrial subsidies.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=685Mon, 13 May 2019 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=685https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=685 Michel Fouquin, Jean-Raphaël Chaponnière

]]>China's international expansion follows multiple paths: trade, investment, finance and currency, to focus on the economy. In doing so, it pursues different objectives. The new roads project appears to be the way to provide a flexible framework for China's overall strategy. However, we can question its feasibility.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=683Mon, 29 Apr 2019 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=683https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=683 Michel Fouquin, Jean-Raphaël Chaponnière

]]>A review of China's international activity since 2013 is striking first of all by the speed with which it has made China a major player in globalization in terms of both direct investment and lending to developing countries. The Silk Roads project, which is a unique and unconventional project, appears above all as a means of gradually structuring the Chinese vision of globalization, which combines China's long-term economic and strategic interest.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=694Tue, 23 Apr 2019 14:27:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=694https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=694 Cecilia Bellora, Lionel Fontagné

]]>Since 2018, the US administration has implemented several measures limiting free trade with China and other countries. Using cross-country data and a general equilibrium model, this column argues that a trade war hurts not only the targeted countries but also the country imposing the tariffs. Column first published in VOX.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=675Mon, 1 Apr 2019 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=675https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=675 Michel Fouquin, Jean-Raphaël Chaponnière

]]>Initially Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) focussed on transport infrastructure and pipelines on the one hand and Europe-Asia connectivity on the other hand. It aims at building an Eurasian Belt as well as several corridors leading to maritime roads.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=673Mon, 18 Mar 2019 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=673https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=673 Michel Fouquin, Jean-Raphaël Chaponnière

]]>For more than thirty years, China has recorded exceptional trade surpluses and accumulated extraordinary financial reserves, which are almost twice those of its immediate follower Japan. These surpluses are an inconvenience to its most important partners, such as the United States and the European Union.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=635Sun, 2 Dec 2018 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=635https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=635 Gianluca Orefice

]]>Preferential trade agreements (PTAs) can be used by signatory countries to manage international migration flows and participation in global value chain. The inclusion of an additional provision in PTAs stimulates the bilateral fragmentation of production by 1 percent, while PTAs that facilitate visa and asylum administrative procedures stimulate bilateral migration by up to 34 percent.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=634Fri, 16 Nov 2018 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=634https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=634 Sébastien Jean

]]>The world trading system is facing an existential crisis. This calls for a significant update of the rulebook, dealing with dissatisfactions regarding negotiation and rules, surveillance, as well as adjudication.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=615Fri, 5 Oct 2018 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=615https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=615 Joachim Jarreau, Cristina Mitaritonna, Sami Bensassi

]]>This post, already published on The Conversation, explains how official statistics do not reflect the reality of internal trade in Africa. Intra Africa trade seems low despite numerous regional trade agreements that have led to tariffs removal within the trading blocs. However, a large part of cross-border trade between African countries is informal.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=596Thu, 12 Apr 2018 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=596https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=596 CEPII

]]>On the occasion of its 40th anniversary, three panel discussions, CEPII brought together experts, foreign and French, decision-makers and academics to discuss the major challenges that France and Europe are facing ten years after the crisis and the deep transformation of the international economic relationships. See videos et presentations.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=584Wed, 31 Jan 2018 16:38:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=584https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=584 Sébastien Jean, Ariell Reshef

]]>On January 22, President Trump announced his decision to apply tariffs on imported washing machines and photovoltaic cells and modules, and other protectionist measures could follow. To understand what the impacts of such measures could be, we review an earlier episode, the steel safeguards imposed by George W. Bush in 2002.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=570Thu, 26 Oct 2017 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=570https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=570 Sébastien Jean

]]>Trade between Japan and the EU is not a big deal in world trade, barely more than 1%. Their Economic Partnership Agreement can nevertheless be very influential because, jointly, they are a party in more than 40% of world trade, and much more in innovative sectors.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=517Tue, 27 Jun 2017 10:30:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=517https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=517 Camilo Umana Dajud

]]>The sharp drop in commodity prices has had a sizeable impact on Latin America's short term growth prospects. The decline in terms of trade has also revealed, once again, the low productivity of the region's economies. Investing in infrastructure could help Latin America simultaneously address these short and long term challenges.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=512Thu, 11 May 2017 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=512https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=512 Lionel Fontagné, Gianluca Orefice, Philippe Martin

]]>With Brexit and the election of D. Trump, tariffs and exchange rates are back at the centre stage of policy debates. This column revisits the assumptions economists make when estimating how tariffs and exchange rates affect exporters’ performance.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=502Mon, 20 Feb 2017 16:27:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=502https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=502 Lionel Fontagné, Gianluca Orefice

]]>Regulation is a barrier to trade. A recent CEPII Working Paper uses French firm-level panel data to assess how technical barriers to trade impact firms’ exports.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=501Fri, 3 Feb 2017 11:55:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=501https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=501 Lionel Fontagné, Gianluca Santoni

]]>The US President has a problem with the American geography – a problem called Mexico.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=492Thu, 15 Dec 2016 15:34:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=492https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=492 Jean-Francois Boittin

]]>Dec. 1st may well be remembered in the history books of the 22nd century as the beginning of the end of globalization. This is the day when the President-elect paraded his “victory” over the management of Carrier International, a unit of United Technologies that had announced the move of 2,000 some jobs to Mexico.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=483Tue, 18 Oct 2016 15:07:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=483https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=483 Sébastien Jean

]]>The IMF’s latest World Economic Outlook points to weak demand and investment as the main factor behind the world trade slowdown. I argue that this conclusion is overblown and that the high-quality underlying work falls well short of explaining the slow trade puzzle.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=470Tue, 14 Jun 2016 10:53:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=470https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=470 Jérôme Héricourt, Clément Nedoncelle

]]>The idea that exchange rate volatility could be detrimental to international trade is widely accepted. Surprisingly, macroeconomic evidence on its impact on trade yields either small or insignificant effect on aggregate outcomes. This column suggests that the behavior of big, multi-destination firms help explain this puzzle.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=449Tue, 15 Dec 2015 16:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=449https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=449 Sébastien Jean, Kevin Lefebvre

]]>The U.S. administration insists on the fact that the TPP is ‘enforceable’. If experience of previous US trade agreements is to offer any guidance, this enforceability cannot be taken for granted. Yet the stakes are high for both regional trade rules’ credibility, and for multilateralism’s future.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=421Tue, 20 Oct 2015 16:34:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=421https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=421 Alix de Saint Vaulry

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]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=415Thu, 15 Oct 2015 10:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=415https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=415 Sébastien Jean

]]>Despite the magnitude of the Transpacific Partnership Agreement concluded by the United States, the EU should not heed calls to rush into concluding ongoing Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership talks under the Obama administration at any cost, and focus instead on negotiating a good agreement.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=373Thu, 23 Apr 2015 09:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=373https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=373 Sébastien Jean

]]>Regulatory coherence is claimed to be the core of the potential economic stakes in the TTIP. As the 9th Round of Negotiations is being convened in New York City, time has come for discussions to take a more concrete form.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=348Mon, 8 Dec 2014 10:47:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=348https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=348 Lionel Fontagné, Sébastien Jean

]]>The TTIP has become a full-blown political issue as the two largest economic entities in the world are negotiating a deep integration agreement, going beyond what has been done previously in any agreement except the EU’s Single Market.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=249Tue, 8 Oct 2013 10:44:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=249https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=249 Sébastien Jean

]]>The special and differential treatment granted to developing countries, a key principle in the multilateral trading system, now appears broken-down. Based on a speech given at the WTO Forum, this post reviews -with a focus on agriculture- why this is so and what could be done.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=246Mon, 23 Sep 2013 16:48:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=246https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=246 Lionel Fontagné, Julien Gourdon, Sébastien Jean

]]>CEPII launches its first Policy Brief “Transatlantic Trade: Whither Partnership, Which Economic Consequences?” which examines the stakes and potential impacts of a Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=211Thu, 2 May 2013 18:27:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=211https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=211 Sébastien Jean

]]>The WTO is going through a leadership transition as after 8 years, the incumbent Director-General steps down on September 1, 2013. What are the challenges ahead for Pascal Lamy’s successor? The next DG will certainly have to take the Doha loss and move toward an updated multilateral trading system.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=153Mon, 15 Oct 2012 08:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=153https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=153 Maria Bas, Vanessa Strauss-Khan

]]>International trade plays a key role in technological diffusion. In a recent work, we show how firms can improve their competitiveness and export performance through importing more varieties of high quality or lower cost intermediate goods.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=119Tue, 17 Jul 2012 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=119https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=119 Gianluca Orefice

]]>An international organization (uniquely) in charge of managing international migration flows is missing. However recent Preferential Trade Agreements (PTAs) include migration related provisions able to manage migration flows. Further, the signature of a PTA itself boosts bilateral migration flows.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=89Tue, 22 May 2012 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=89https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=89 Julien Gourdon, Céline Carrère, Marcelo Olarreaga

]]>The slow progress of regional integration efforts in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region could be explained by the reluctance of resource-rich countries to deepen trade agreements which hurt them.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=80Thu, 19 Apr 2012 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=80https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=80 Cristina Mitaritonna, Matthieu Crozet

]]>In France, like in most Western European countries, the debate on competitiveness is entirely focused on manufacturing industries. The case of services sectors remains in the shadows, even though they undoubtedly are an important source of employment and constitute a clear comparative advantage.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=25Thu, 22 Dec 2011 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=25https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=25 Françoise Lemoine

]]>China joined the WTO in December 2001. China and its partners had been negotiating the conditions of its accession since 1987 with two fundamental goals: integrate China into the global economy and anchor the process of domestic economic reforms and opening up.

]]>https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=37Mon, 19 Dec 2011 00:00:00 GMThttps://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=37https://www.cepii.fr/BLOG/en/post.asp?IDcommunique=37 Colette Herzog, Deniz Ünal

]]>The specialization of countries in international trade reveals their comparative advantages and disadvantages. The CHELEM database which provides complete and consistent statistics classified by country in the long term is used to analyze the structural aspect of the competitiveness of nations in all economic sectors, namely the primary sector, industry and services.

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