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PRESENTATION ARCHIVES
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  N°119  
Issue 3 2009  
Labor Migration: Macroeconomic and Demographic Outlook for Europe and Neighborhood Regions  
Vladimir Borgy
Xavier Chojnicki
 
In this paper, we assess the demographic and economic consequences of migration in Europe and neighborhood countries using a multi-regions OLG model (INGENUE2). Our quantitative results shed some light on the long term consequences of migration on regions that are not at the same stage in the ageing process. Despite some improvement of their public pension system, it appears that a realistic migration scenario does not offset the effect of ageing in host regions; leaving room for pension reforms. The adverse economic consequences of emigration appear to be all the more important than the origin region is advanced in the ageing process. Finally, we consider and evaluate a policy of immigration in which the decline of the labor force in Western Europe is eschewed.

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CGEM; migration; international capital flows; neighborhood policy Keywords
F21; C68; J61; H55 JEL classification
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