The boom in international trade in healthcare products does not date back to the Covid-19 pandemic but to the great multilateral trade opening of the 2000s. Will the protectionist tensions that have been building since 2022 slow this growth?

The automotive sector plays a central role in Donald Trump's declarations on trade deficits and his threats of protectionist measures against the European Union (EU) as well as Canada and Mexico. With a $270 billion motor vehicle trade deficit in 2023, cars are one of the major items, nearly a quarter of the total, in the US trade deficit after consumer goods.

The COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine have highlighted the challenges associated with import dependency.

The tariff increases announced by Donald Trump before his election would have a serious impact on global trade flows.

The CEPII is looking forward to the new year and the developments it will bring that we hope to be positive. The Government, under whose auspices the CEPII has been operating since 1978, has initiated a thorough review of how to enhance the performance and coordination of the French organisations that conduct economic analysis and policy evaluation.

This year, the major topics of the CEPII's work programme emerge from the current gloomy context: the energy transition, the resilience of value chains, impacts of geopolitical tensions, the macroeconomic situation marked by new budgetary priorities and the tightening of monetary policies.

On 23rd February - the eve of the Russian invasion of Ukraine - the Council of the European Union (EU) adopted the first package of sanctions in response to Moscow's recognition of the self-proclaimed autonomous republics of Donetsk and Lugansk. Since then, five further packages have followed, the last of which was adopted on 3rd June. From the second package onwards, sanctions affected trade in goods.

The Ukrainian conflict has brought to the forefront the issue of Europe's dependence on hydrocarbon imports. Trade data are the usual source to construct a measure of interdependence between states. In the case of natural gas, however, they do not provide a reliable picture of actual flows.

L’industrie en Asie pourrait souffrir des élans protectionnistes et la percée énergétique américaine buter sur le mur climatique. À l’Europe de jouer de ses atouts dans le secondaire et le tertiaire.