The latest international economic trends analyzed by CEPII's economists

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COP21

Authors
Michel Aglietta
Yves-Emmanuel Bara
Maria Bas
Agnès Bénassy-Quéré
Antoine Berthou
Céline Carrère
Benjamin Carton
Virginie Coudert
Matthieu Crozet
Christophe Destais
Evelyne Dourille-Feer
Etienne Espagne
Lionel Fontagné
Michel Fouquin
Jean Fouré
Julien Gourdon
Olena Havrylchyk
Colette Herzog
Sébastien Jean
Marc Joëts
Svetlana Ledyaeva
Françoise Lemoine
Stéphane Lhuissier
Valérie Mignon
Cristina Mitaritonna
Laurence Nayman
Marcelo Olarreaga
Gianluca Orefice
Jean Pisani-Ferry
Sophie Piton
Urszula Szczerbowicz
Fabien Tripier
Deniz Ünal
Natacha Valla
Guanghua Wan

Falling oil price and appreciating dollar: is it normal?

Money & Finance | Environment & Natural Resources 
Post, January 27, 2016
By Virginie Coudert, Valérie Mignon
Dollar changes impact negatively oil prices most of the times, except when the dollar reaches particularly high levels. During these episodes of high dollar values, the relation between both variables turns positive.
Read more >
 

Best wishes for 2016!

Post, January 1, 2016
By Sébastien Jean
After an eventful year, many questions are raised about trends in the world economy, on which CEPII will aim at shedding light in the coming year.
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Enforcement of FTAs: lessons for TPP and new trade agreements

Trade & Globalization 
Post, December 15, 2015
By Sébastien Jean, Kevin Lefebvre
The U.S. administration insists on the fact that the TPP is ‘enforceable’. If experience of previous US trade agreements is to offer any guidance, this enforceability cannot be taken for granted. Yet the stakes are high for both regional trade rules’ credibility, and for multilateralism’s future.
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Georges Sokoloff

Post, December 12, 2015
By Michel Fouquin, Sébastien Jean, Jean-Pierre Saltiel
Georges Sokoloff nous a quittés ce lundi 7 décembre. Avec ce contributeur de toujours aux travaux du CEPII disparaît l’un des meilleurs experts du monde russe et soviétique.
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Business Cycles in Europe since 1970

Competitiveness & Growth 
Post, December 10, 2015
By Stéphane Lhuissier
This column reports the nature and the amplitude of economic cycles in the Euro area since 1970, with a focus on the role of financial factors in generating these cycles.
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COP21

Trillions in Transition: Growing our Way out of Climate Change?

Environment & Natural Resources 
Post, December 7, 2015
By D.A. Loorbach, R. Lijnis Huffenreuter

Other posts on COP21
> To Recognize the Social Value of Mitigation Actions in a Climate Agreement
> Thinking ‘Eco-Systemically’ to Shift the Trillions
> The price of carbon: ways forward after COP-21
All posts on COP21 >
 

Is the exchange rate – oil price nexus stable over time?

Environment & Natural Resources 
Post, October 26, 2015
By Valérie Mignon, Jean-Pierre Allegret, Cécile Couharde, Tovonony Razafindrabe
It is a widely accepted view that many commodity-exporting countries have commodity currencies, in that movements in real commodity prices can explain fluctuations in their real exchange rates.
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After TPP: the EU shouldn’t rush into concluding TTIP

Trade & Globalization 
Post, October 15, 2015
By Sébastien Jean
Despite the magnitude of the Transpacific Partnership Agreement concluded by the United States, the EU should not heed calls to rush into concluding ongoing Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership talks under the Obama administration at any cost, and focus instead on negotiating a good agreement.
Read more >
 

Sovereign debt restructuring: alternative solutions

Money & Finance 
Post, September 24, 2015
By Christophe Destais
The implementation of a multilateral mechanism for sovereign debt restructuring that the UN is calling for, is illusory. However, progress could be achieved in different ways: improving the contractual terms, introducing new clauses on automatic debt reprofiling and using the leverage of international funding.
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The exit from the U.S. zero interest-rate policy should be done gradually

Money & Finance | Economic Policy 
Post, September 18, 2015
By Stéphane Lhuissier, Fabien Tripier
Once again, the Federal Reserve has postponed the date of exit from the zero lower bound. We show that the pace of the tightening cycle matters more than the exact timing of the first interest rate hike for the macroeconomy.
Read more >
 
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