CEPII, Recherche et Expertise sur l'economie mondiale
Tuesday January 23, 2024
2.00-3.15 pm (Paris Time) - CEPII, 20, avenue de Ségur 75007 Paris
The CEPII Research seminar "How do Mass Lay-offs affect Regional Economies ?"

Wessel Vermeulen
Economist at OECD Trento Centre
Wessel Vermeulen will present "How do mass lay-offs affect regional economies ?" (co-authored with Nils Braakman).

Mass lay-offs from firms and plant restructuring occur regularly and can have potentially large consequences on places and communities. Policymakers may consider supporting firms, in order to prevent mass lay-offs but at the risk of interfering with economic dynamism, or targeting affected workers, to help them transition to new employment. Which strategy (firms versus workers) is the most appropriate and under which circumstances can be informed by better understanding the nature of the economic impact from mass lay-offs. Their paper estimates the impact of mass lay-offs between 2008-18 across small regions (TL3) in Europe on regional employment and productivity. It finds there are persistent negative employment effects of mass lay-offs, and rural regions are more negatively affected on average. In part because of differences in the nature of the firm in the region, its relationship with nearby suppliers and clients, and the broader economic context of the region, productivity effects can be both positive and negative over the longer term.

Contact: conferencesatcepii.fr