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The Vicious Circle of Xenophobia: Immigration and Right-Wing Populism

This recent Working paper highlights the link between low-skill immigration that promotes right-wing populism, which in turn generates adverse skill-selection of immigrants. This creates a vicious circle between negative skill-selection of immigrants and right-wing populism. Structural trends and cyclical shocks such as internet expansion or demographic pressure from poor countries tend to make the vicious circle more likely.

Le blog du CEPII

June 2, 2025

China's share in European countries’ imports: the source matters !
Pierre Cotterlaz
The importance of China in the imports of European countries varies significantly from one source to another, because of methodological differences in recording the country of origin of imports.

Le blog du CEPII

May 19, 2025

Sanctions: The Cost of Bypassing for Russia
Charlotte Emlinger, Kevin Lefebvre
The trade sanctions imposed on the Russian economy not only restrict its supplies but also increase their cost.

Le blog du CEPII

May 5, 2025

Bilateral Vulnerability to Imports Is Higher in the United States than in Europe
Kevin Lefebvre, Pauline Wibaux
The tariff strategy implemented since Donald Trump's inauguration has drawn attention to the extent of the U.S. economy's dependence on imports. The European Union (EU) ranks second among the suppliers on which the United States relies the most.

Le blog du CEPII

April 14, 2025

U.S. Tariff Hike: Uneven Effects Across Sectors
Pierre Cotterlaz
The United States are the main destination of European Union (EU) exports (excluding the Single Market). As transatlantic trade tensions intensify, some European industries are particularly exposed to the risk of losing access to the U.S. market.

Trade & Globalization

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LE Graphique – THE Chart

China's share in European countries’ imports: the source matters !

The importance of China in the imports of European countries varies significantly from one source to another, because of methodological differences in recording the country of origin of imports. Read on the Blog.

EU-US trade dashboard

While the United States are intensifying tariff measures, find the main data on trade between the European Union and the United States on our new dashboard: bilateral trade balance, composition of trade in goods and services, trade exposures by sector, trade protection, dependencies, as well as our main publications on the topic. >>

Analysis and debates

Does Immigration Affect Native Wages?
A Meta-Analysis

The impact of immigration on native workers’ wages has been a long-standing debate in labour and international economics. This meta-analysis synthesises findings from 88 studies published between 1985 and 2023, providing a comprehensive assessment of reduced-form estimates of the wage effect of immigration. The results align with the existing literature, showing that the average wage effect is centered around zero, with substantial heterogeneity across studies. The authors highlight the critical role of contexts and methodological choices in shaping wage estimates. In particular, they find that shift-share instrumental variables correct for an upward bias of the OLS. The findings emphasise the need for replication studies and greater transparency in methodological choices. Continue reading >>

L’approvisionnement russe de produits duals face aux sanctions

Les voyages d’affaires, un moteur du commerce international freiné par les restrictions migratoires

Au-delà du coût de l’énergie : la demande, ce facteur oublié de la compétitivité

Carbon Bias of Tariffs: Are Fossil fuels the Culprits?

Does Immigration Affect Native Wages? A Meta-Analysis

The Vicious Circle of Xenophobia: Immigration and Right-Wing Populism

Working Around Sanctions. What Cost to Russia?

Trump 2.0 Tariffs: What Cost for the World Economy?

Lithium-Ion Batteries: Dynamic Mapping of the Value Chain and Perspectives

Health Products in International Trade: a Full-Fledged Industry Grouping

CEPII Region Profiles: indicators, databases and classifications

CEPII Country Profiles: indicators, databases and classifications

The 3rd Junior Workshop on The Economics of Migration
June 23 - 24, 2025

Workshop "The economics of migrations : from firms, international trade and investment to the frontiers of political science"
July 2, 2025

Presentation of the CEPII's annual publication "The World Economy 2026"
September 10, 2025

Séminaire compétitivité CEPII-Banque de France "L'industrie de défense, entre perspectives haussières et défis de croissance"
June 10, 2025

The CEPII research seminar "North Korea's China Shock"
May 22, 2025

Sommes-nous de nouveau entrés dans une ère du « capitalisme de la finitude » ?
May 21, 2025

The Rise of the Silver Economy: Global Implications of Population Aging. Presentation of the IMF's World Economic Outlook 2025
May 14, 2025

Migrant and refugee flows : economic spillovers from stricter policies. Presentation of the IMF's World Economic Outlook 2025
April 29, 2025